Pat’s Midseason Review: 2021 MLB Standings Predictions

Right before the MLB season started, I wrote a series of articles outlining my predictions for the standings in each division. Now that the All Star break is here, let’s see how I’ve done so far!

NL East:

Prediction: Mets, Braves, Phillies, Nationals, Marlins

Actual: Mets, Phillies, Braves, Nationals, Marlins

Not too shabby to start! The Braves and Phillies are currently neck-and-neck, so we’ll see how things shake out, especially after the Acuña injury. The Nationals also seem like they could make a push later in the season. The Mets are somehow in first despite injuries and poor play from new acquisition Francisco Lindor. All signs point to them being able to keep it up.

NL Central:

Prediction: Cardinals, Brewers, Reds, Cubs, Pirates

Midseason Standings: Brewers, Reds, Cubs, Cardinals, Pirates

So, the Cardinals are tied with the Cubs for 3rd place in the division and the Brewers and Reds move up a spot as a result. Nice! But actually, the Brewers have been much better than I expected them to be, thanks mostly due to their two aces in Corbin Burnes and Brandon Woodruff. The Reds, in the other hand, have a mashing duo in Nick Castellanos and Jesse Winker, elevating their team to 2nd place in the division. The Cards have been disappointing, and it sounds like the Cubs will be sellers through the trade deadline. The Pirates are still years out from contending.

NL West:

Prediction: Dodgers, Padres, Diamondbacks, Rockies, Giants

Midseason Standings: Giants, Dodgers, Padres, Rockies, Diamondbacks

Ok, so the Giants have found the fountain of youth and are actually really good. They’re overperforming, but that isn’t the sole reason to account for them being at the top of the NL. The Dodgers and Padres have had some injury issues, but are mostly playing as we all expected them to. I’m honestly not sure how I rated the D-Backs as the third best team of this division. I expect to see Ketel Marte and the Rockies’ Trevor Story on their way out of this division very soon.

AL West:

Prediction:  Astros, Angels, Athletics, Mariners, Rangers

Midseason Standings: Astros, Athletics, Mariners, Angels, Rangers

I knew picking the Angels to finish 2nd would be a bold prediction, but man I was wrong. It doesn’t help that MIke Trout got injured, because even with Shohei Ohtani’s historic year, this team won’t do much without him. The Astros are pretty much what I expected them to be. The Athletics are much better than I expected them to be, mostly because I wasn’t sure what to make of their pitching. They should continue to be in the driver’s seat for a wild card spot. The Mariners are also surprisingly better than I expected, thought I don’t know how with some of the stats their starters are sporting. The Rangers should be looking forward to the prospects they’ll get from trading Joey Gallo.

AL Central:

Prediction: White Sox, Twins, Indians, Royals, Tigers

Midseason Standings: White Sox, Indians, Tigers, Twins, Royals

I had a friend who was unhappy that I went with the White Sox over the Twins in my predictions of who would win the AL Central, and I’m glad I went with my gut. The Twins are seriously underperforming, yes, but they’re just showing some of those pitching issues I was afraid of prior to the year. Of course, losing Byron Buxton for as long as they have has also factored into that. The Indians, naturally, took their spot at 2nd, and the Tigers…somehow jumped up to third? They’re technically tied with the Twins, but either way they are doing much better than I thought. Rule 5 pickup Akil Badoo has been great, even if he couldn’t sustain his crazy first week in the majors. The Royals have had some rough years from some of their everyday players thus far.

AL East:

Prediction: Yankees, Blue Jays, Red Sox, Rays, Orioles

Midseason Standings: Red Sox, Rays, Blue Jays, Yankees, Orioles

I think this is the one I was the most wrong about. I was certainly rooting for the Red Sox to jump ahead of where I had them, but I don’t think anyone expected this. The Rays are definitely making me eat my words, as I thought they wouldn’t have the pitching to keep up. The Yankees seem to be imploding, and I’m not sure how much longer Aaron Boone will be around as manager. The team should be so much better than they are. The Orioles have some talent, but overall they’re not anywhere near competing yet.

Final Thoughts:

Overall, I don’t think I did too bad, but we’ll see how the second half shakes out. Let’s continue to root for good baseball and stay tuned for the end of season review!

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– Pat Shuman (@PShu1996 on Twitter) Check out my other articles here!

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