The Hall of Fame Vote Rolls On

As the lockout has persisted (and probably will for at least another month), the one update we’re still getting is that of the Hall of Fame voting. Here’s how some of the players stack up so far:

I’ve already given my picks for who deserves the Hall, but let’s be realistic now. Are any of these 5 players actually getting in this year? Can anyone else come back? Let’s talk about it.

A Quick Word

First, I just need to say something in the very slim chance any Hall of Fame voters: stop submitting blank ballots. There’s always at least one person deserving of making the Hall each year. Stop feeling like you’re so important that you can submit a blank ballot year after year. It’s incredibly frustrating to us fans.

Now, the Players:

David Ortiz

Big Papi is currently the top vote getter of the public ballots, earning almost 83% of the vote. While he could take a hit from those who did not make their ballots public, all signs seem to be pointing in the right direction for him. Some of the voters who have explained their ballots have mentioned his counting stats and his playoff performance as major reasons for voting for him, and after Edgar Martinez got in, it’s not as taboo for a DH to enter the Hall. The only thing that could prevent him from getting in was his one mention in the PED scandal of the early 2000s, and even then it was one voluntary test from which he claims he didn’t know what triggered it. Since he never tested positive again, in which all his most productive years occured, I’m inclined to believe him.

Barry Bonds

Bonds is just over the 75% line, which may mean he ends up falling after the rest of the votes are counted, but there’s a chance he keeps his spot. It seems the voters are more accepting of steroid era players, so I think he’ll end up getting in this year. But it’ll be close.

Roger Clemens

Roger Clemens is essentially the pitching version of Barry Bonds, and it’s telling that the two have the same voting percentage. I would expect that either both get in, or both miss it.

Scott Rolen

Rolen is just under the 75% threshold, and there’s a chance he can gain on the nonpublic ballots, given their propensity to be more old school. Even if it’s just speculation, I have to think enough people have high enough views of Rolen to get in this year. He gained almost 20% from 2020 to 2021, and so far it looks like he’s gained that (and more) again.

Curt Schilling

Curt came the closest to making the Hall last year, so there’s a chance he could still make it, but given his comments and the way he’s carried himself in the last few years it’s also very possible he doesn’t gain very many votes. As much as I think the Hall of Fame should be focused on the player, rather than the person, I can’t blame anyone for not voting for him, or any other players they find morally reprehensible in one way or another. If I were a betting man, I’d say Schilling misses out again in 2022 and misses his chance.

The Field

I’m seriously doubting anyone else gains enough ground. Todd Helton, Andruw Jones, and Billy Wagner are all above 50%, but I don’t even hold out much hope for them, not to mention the others. I suppose Alex Rodriguez or Manny Ramirez may make the jump, but I find that unlikely. Perhaps next year.

Image Source: The Boston Globe

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