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Lock, Fade And Stay Away (8/1/20)

We have survived for this long, now it is time to sit back and enjoy a sports filled Saturday for the first time in a very long time. Here are my locks, my favorite to fade away from, and my bet of the day to stay away from.

 

Lock:

Winnipeg Jets +110

Winnipeg comes in to the NHL playoff qualifier as a low seed, and will look to take game one against Calgary tonight. The Jets struggled for the majority of the season, but before the shutdown of the NHL due to Covid-19; the Jets won five out of their last six games. Beating teams like the Capitals, Edmonton, and Vegas along the way. The Jets are a little banged up which is why they are a little bit of an underdog, but I think they have the slight advantage in game one. Their slight advantage has to be their goaltender. Connor Hellebuyck who is one of the better goalies in the league in my opinion, going up against Cam Talbot who I believe is mediocre at best. Lock in the Jets as they look to take the lead in the series 1-0.

 

Oklahoma City Thunder -2

Utah has the slight edge since they played Thursday night, but are still a two point underdog to the Thunder. Oklahoma City is one of the biggest surprises this season, as we saw people’s perspective of their season do a complete 180. Before the shut down of the regular season, OKC won three straight, and eight out of their last ten. Also in their last eight matchups, Oklahoma City is 7-1 against the spread against the Jazz. Lock in the Thunder at -2 tonight with guys like Shai Gilgeous Alexander and company leading the charge.

 

Houston Astros -166

Yes, even without the banging of trash cans; the Houston Astros are still a very good baseball team. The Angels have a huge hole to fill in their lineup as they lost Mike Trout due to the birth of his first child. Tonight’s pitching matchup also includes Zack Greinke going up against Griffin Canning. Greinke has the advantage in this matchup due to experience. Although in his last start against the Mariners he did not look very good (3.1 IP 3 ER 2 K’s ND). Houston is 11-2 straight up in their last thirteen games against the Angels, and without Trout I see that trend continuing. Lock the Astros at -166 because their lineup is better than the Angels, especially without Mike Trout in there.

 

Fade:

New York Islanders -120

Before the shutdown of the NHL season due to Covid-19, the Islanders were on a big time cold streak. Seven straight losses they had, and tonight in game one of their playoff qualifier against the Panthers; they are looking for their first win since February 23rd. I understand that a lot of teams haven’t gotten a win in a few months, but with the Islanders going as cold as they did before the shut down is worrying to me. The goalie matchup between Sergei Bobrovsky and Seymon Varlamov also has me fading away from the Islanders even more. I think Florida is a better team, and the Islanders still will be looking for to get the monkey off their back. Fade the Islanders tonight in their game one of their best of five series against Florida.

 

Stay Away:

Over 10.5 (Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City Royals)

The White Sox and the Royals over/under line is a joke. Yes, I understand that the Royals are very bad at times, but I still think that the over/under is way too high. Chicago is an up and coming team with a good lineup, but Kansas City’s lineup is inconsistent to say the least. Since the season began, the White Sox under has hit four out of their first six games. For the Royals the under has hit six times out of their first nine games. The final score goes no where towards the over, so stay far far away from the over in this game.

 

-Chris Jones (@cjoneswho1212/@thechasers617 on twitter)

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