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Lock, Fade And Stay Away NFL Week One (9/13/20)

It is Week One of the NFL Season, it is one of the greatest days of the year. As today starts the journey to February where we will have football on every single Sunday. The Chasers will be giving you picks for every single NFL game. Both Jones and Fiesta are 1-0-1 in the NFL at the moment. With that being said here are some of my lock(s) of the day, my favorite to fade, and my bet to stay away from today.

 

Lock(s): 

Green Bay Packers +2.5 (1.1u/1u)

The Green Bay Packers start off the 2020 season on the road against the Vikings. Aaron Rodgers and company head to Minnesota where they won their matchup their a season ago. Green Bay went 2-0 against the Vikings last year and I believe the trend is going to continue to start off 2020. I will take Aaron Rodgers any day of the week before I take Kirk Cousins. The issue that I am facing is that I am going off the fact that I believe Green Bay’s defense is going to get one more stop than the Vikings defense. Big days are coming for the Green Bay receivers in my opinion, and I see the Packers not only covering the 2.5, but winning the game straight up. Lock in the Packers at +2.5 as I am risking 1.1 units to make 1 unit.

 

Seattle Seahawks -125 (1.25u/1u)

The Seattle Seahawks are always an interesting team to bet on. They always play real well and then when it comes to the spread in the end they usually screw you over. Seattle struggled late last year against the spread as they are 1-4-1, even though they are only -1.5 I am taking them on the moneyline. Russell Wilson is my pick to win MVP to start off the year, and I believe he will show up in a big way. Seattle’s defense is going to step up, and shut down Matty Ice. Lock in the Seahawks at -125 as I am risking 1.25 units to make 1 unit.

 

Fade: 

San Francisco 49ers -7

San Francisco is coming off a fourth quarter collapse in Super Bowl 54 last February. The 49ers are looking to bounce back, but they get a tough draw in week one in the Arizona Cardinals. Arizona is on the rise, and with the addition of DeAndre Hopkins on offense Kylar Murray and company are going to be unreal this year. The 49ers are a little banged up at the moment, and they are going to be without one of their corner backs. Last season as well the Cardinals always played the 49ers well, and I think this -7 line for the 49ers is a little disgraceful. With that being said I am fading the 49ers -7 today.

 

Stay Away:

Over 39.5 (New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills)

This is going to be a defensive heavy game, as this matchup in their last three meetings has hit the under two times. I am not sold on Josh Allen yet, but I love this Buffalo Bills defense. Sam Darnold still sees in ghosts in my opinion so he isn’t going to help that Jets offense at all at the moment. I just like both defenses and I see this being a 20-17 type of game today. With that logic I am staying far far away from the over in this one.

 

Make sure to follow us on twitter (@thechasers617) to get the rest of my lock(s) and all of Fiesta’s for a jam packed Week One Sunday.

-Chris Jones (@cjoneswho1212)

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