Lock, Fade And Stay Away (9/13/20)
If you would like the rest of my lock(s), and all of Fiesta’s make sure you follow us on twitter (@thechasers617). Also make sure you listen to our podcast on Sound Cloud (@thechasers) as well. With that being said here are some of my lock(s) for the day, my favorite to fade, and my bet that you need to absolutely need to stay away from.
Lock(s):
Over 214.5 (LAC DEN) (1.1u/1u)
This is a crucial game for both teams today. Both offenses are going to come out ready to score, and it is going to come down to which duo performs better overall. Kawhi Leonard needs to step up big time today to take the Clippers to their first ever Western Conference Final. Jokic and Murray need to step up big time today to force a game seven for the second time this post season. A lot of points will be scored today and this over hits with a breeze tonight. Lock in the over in this Game Six matchup as I am risking 1.1 units to make 1 unit.
Tampa Bay Lightning ML (2.9u/2u)
This is a huge two unit play for me today. Tampa Bay is up 2-1 in the series, and is looking to take the commanding 3-1 series lead against the Islanders. The moneyline is too low for me not to take the Lightning tonight. Tampa is the better team and we have seen it in this series so far. The Islanders are going to play with a chip on their shoulders after what Kucherov did while the Islanders were scoring an empty netter. Unfortunately, Tampa Bay will show why they are the better team overall. Lock in the Lightning moneyline as I am risking 2.9 units to make 2 units.
Fade:
Arizona Diamondbacks -150
Arizona is 4-16 in their last twenty games, while Seattle is 7-3 in their last ten games. The Mariners are trending up while the Diamondbacks are trending way down. The pitching matchup being Justin Dunn for the Mariners and Luke Weaver for the Diamondbacks makes it so surprising to me why Arizona is the favorite in this one. Weaver has started in nine games this year, and the Diamondbacks are 2-7 in those games. While Dunn has started in seven games and the Mariners are 5-2 in those games. That right there would make me believe that Seattle is the favorite. Which isn’t the case at all for this game. Fade the Diamondbacks as they will go 4-17 in their last 21.
Stay Away:
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5
The Milwaukee Brewers are so inconsistent for anybody to try and figure out if they are worth to bet or not. Milwaukee is 2-4 straight up in their last six games, and I can’t believe they are the favorites today. Adrian Houser is 1-4 this season with a 5.48 ERA, that doesn’t scream out favorite to me. I love the Cubs today as they are pitching Alec Mills who looked good in his last start against the Reds. This moneyline for the Brewers is a clear trap to me. You all should stay far far away from the Brewers moneyline today.
-Chris Jones (@cjoneswho1212)