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FBB MarketWatch Recap 8/30-9/3

Welcome to the FBB MarketWatch Recap for 8/30-9/3.  Every day I post a Twitter thread breaking down a snapshot of the fantasy baseball market (#FBBMarketWatch). This is just a recap of the previous week. Data may have changed but the overall trends may still hold true. We all need a little advice from time to time and the FBB MarketWatch wrap-up may hold a nugget or two that leads to you making your decision to move on or even acquire a player.

8/30

2B/3B/SS/OF Tommy Edman, St. Louis Cardinals (UP!)

->Slashing .379/.425/.576 with .425 wOBA, 2 SB, 29 runs+RBI, 1.000 OPS & 1.0 BB/K over last 15 games. Has a 8.1 Brl%, 38.7 HardHit%, 24.2 LD%, 4.5 SwStr% & 94.8% Z-contact. That certaintly supports hot streak. Leading off for STL & has great pos eligibility so don’t fix what isn’t broke and hold on.

SP Kyle Hendricks, Chicago Cubs (DOWN)

->Last 5 GS: 7.81 ERA, 5.62 FIP, 18.1% K-rate, 9.7 SwStr% & 11 K-BB%. Hendricks’s 4.64 SIERA, 113 xFIP- & 4.72 xFIP indicates it could be better than it is but still mediocre at best.  The .303 BABIP, 76.8 LOB% & xERA>ERA on the season suggests he’s not unlucky just meh. Okay to move on given the importance of this stage of the season.

C Yasmani Grandal, Chicago White Sox (UP)

->Has 3 HR, 10 RBI, 14.3 K%, 1.905 OPS & 393 wRC+ since returning from IL (3 games). Even though 112 maxEV, 40 Brl% & 60% HardHit rate back his current production stats we al  know it won’t maintain. Still a remainder to make sure Grandal is rostered in ALL leagues. Add if you can.

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SS Brandon Crawford, San Francisco Giants (DOWN)

->29 wRC+ over last 10 games. .147 BA, 0 HR, 0 R, .059 ISO, .208 wOBA & 0 Brls in same span. .192 BABIP, 0.63 BB/K rate & 30.8% HardHit rate shows regression from seasonal trends(I believe a bounce back is likely). Still plays everyday in a great lineup and is a hot streak away from righting the ship. Hold on and try not to panic about B Craw.

SP Dylan Cease, Chicago White Sox (UP)

->12.86 K/9, 27.3 K-BB%, 0.97 WHIP, 13.6 SwStr% & 2.83 ERA since 8/1 (6 GS). Cease’s 3.16 SIERA, 3.60 xFIP, 9.2 Brl%, 38.2 HardHit% & 57.3 FB% suggest he may give up a tad more runs going forward. BUT the K metrics are too juicy to worry. So hold and start in for the rest of the season.

8/31

RP Jordan Romano, Toronto Blue Jays (UP)

->Has completed 7 saves, 2.76 ERA, 13.78 K/9, .216 BA against & 34.9% K-BB since the ASB (16.1 IP). Emerged as the clear cut CP option in TOR. Romano’s 1.91 SIERA, 2.07 xFIP, 17.7 SwStr% & 42.9 O-Sw% are strong indications that this is no fluke. Add wherever you can, especially if you need saves or Ks.

2B/OF Nick Solak, Texas Rangers (UP)

->Since being recalled (8/21): Solak is slashing .364/.400/.606 with 2 HR, 13 runs+RBI, 1 SB, .242 ISO & 176 wRC+. Had a ton of hype coming into season, maybe he is realizing it late. The 8.6 K% & 50% HardHit rate support positive trends. Late surges happen every year.  I think he is worth bringing on board and hope the hot streak runs through the rest of the fantasy season.

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SP German Marquez, Colorado Rockies (DOWN)

->Since 8/1: 6.75 ERA, 5.73 FIP, 1.34 WHIP, 10.1 Brl%, 20.6 K% & 15 K-BB%. Not what you want to see. 3/5 games started were on the road. Meh. 3.82 xFIP, 4.10 SIERA & 19.5 LD% suggest it could be better but with 16 home games in Sept, I may look elsewhere. I hate dropping someone who has pitched like Marquez but if your deadline has passed it might be the best move for your squad.

9/1

SP Blake Snell, San Diego Padres (UP)

->Rocking a 1.71 ERA, 2.21 FIP, 41.4% K-rate, 33.6 K-BB% & 15.5 SwStr% over last 5 GS (31.2IP). Last night pitched 7 SO innings w/ 10 K & 19 WHIFFs. His 2.80 SIERA & 2.93 xFIP since 8/1 suggest his dominance isn’t smoke and mirrors. Hold on and enjoy the ride.

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SP Jameson Taillon, New York Yankees (DOWN)

->Last 5 GS: 24.2 IP, 6.20 ERA, 21.9 K%, 14.3 K-BB%, .294 BABIP, 5.02 FIP & has given up 11 ER in last 2 GS. 12.5 Brl% & 50% HardHit rate over past 2 GS. Gets TOR & NYM next week. TOR is scary NYM not as much. Think other options are better so I am okay moving on from Taillon.

OF Randall Grichuk, Toronto Blue Jays (DOWN)

->Has slashed .187/.255/.350, .263 wOBA, .605 OPS, .163 ISO & 62 wRC+ since ASB. Grichuk’s .194 BABIP, 19.7 K%, 38.8 HardHit%, 7.1 Brl% & 31.9 O-Sw% suggest things could be better. BUT 10th PCTL CHASE rate & 59th PCTL Brl% on the year enough to convince me to drop. Sorry Randy.

OF Bryce Harper, Philadelphia Phillies (UP!!)

->MVP candidate! Has hit 12 HR, owns a .351 BA with 22 2B, 1 3B, 76 runs+RBI, 1.176 OPS, .351 ISO, 1.17 BB/K (laughably good) & 203 wRC+ since 7/5 (50 g). The outfielder’s 56.8% HardHit rate, 15.1 Brl%, 113.7 maxEV & 27.5 O-Sw% really shows how dialed in he is. Looks like a league winner! Enjoy!

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9/2

SP Yu Darvish, San Diego Padres (DOWN)

->Since the crackdown(6/21): 6.27 ERA, 14 HR (2.25 HR/9), 31.8 O-Sw%, 10.1 Brl% & 38.6% HardHit rate. Things are getting worse. 11.12 ERA, 1.94 WHIP & 2.38 HR/9 in last 3 games started. But looking under the hood from 6/21 to now: 3.24 SIERA, 3.26 xFIP, 24.6 K-BB%, 13.2 SwStr% & 3.24 SIERA highlight a case of the homeruns. If Darvish can reel in those homers his production could very well sky rocket. You gotta
hold on for now but the ice is getting thin.

1B Paul Goldschmidt, St. Louis Cardinals (UP!)

->Hottest bat in baseball right now. Goldy’s last 25 games: .375/.444/.708, 1.154 OPS, .333 ISO, .476 wOBA, 82.5% contact% & 204 wRC+. Looking at his 0.81 BB/K, 18.5% Brl rate, 53.1 HardHit% & 21.9 O-Sw% prove how locked in he is. Obviously he will regress but don’t’ worry Paul Goldschmidt will continue to produce for the Cardinals and your fantasy squad.

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2B/SS/OF Chris Taylor, Los Angeles Dodgers (DOWN)

->Despite his .180 BA & 41.4 K% over his last 15 games there are still positive indicators. His 11.1 Brl%, 21.4 O-Sw%, 11 runs+RBI & even 2 SB. Give Taylor a few more games to see if that K rate comes down. If it doesn’t than I am okay dropping him for the hot hand free agent to ride into the post season and potentially beyond.

RP/SP Garrett Whitlock, Boston Red Sox (UP)

->Since the All-star break: 1.69 ERA, 1.66 FIP, 25/4 K/BB, 4 HLDs, 49.1 GB%, 29.1 K% & 24.4 K-BB%. Whitlock is posting a 2.76 SIERA & 14.6 SwStr% and that is encouraging. OH! And he hasn’t given up a barreled ball in the 2nd half of the season! He has 4 plus pitches according to pVALs.  If he gets save chances you’ll be too late. Add in points leagues.

9/3

SP Logan Webb, San Francisco Giants (UP)

->Webb’s 1.56 ERA, 2.58 FIP, 27.8 K%, 22.4 K-BB%, 63.2 GB% & 2.92 SIERA since returning from IL (7/9) His sinker(-14 pVAL) & slider (-6 pVAL) are both borderline elite. Along with his metrics since 7/9 & the RHP’s 88th PCTL in CHASE rate & 68th PCTL in Brl% are enough to indicate future success. If you can add than do so and if you already roster hold on and rack up the stats.

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OF Juan Soto, Washington Nationals (UP)

->Since HR Derby: .341/.516/.667, 12 HR, 7 2B, 68 runs+RBI, 3 SB, 1.183 OPS, .326 ISO, .485 wOBA, 1.85 BB/K (unbelieveable) & 205 wRC+. Stud doing stud things. Let’s look under the hood to see if a slow down is around the corner: 15.3 O-Sw%, 5.4 SwStr%, 21 Brls (19.6%), 52.3 HardHit% & 116.6 maxEV. So…yes, Childish Gambino will continue smashing so enjoy if you roster.

1B/DH Carlos Santana, Kansas City Royals (DOWN)

->Slashing .200/.276/.305, .105 ISO, 12 XBH, 14 RBI & 61 wRC+ since 7/1. 6 Brls (3.9%), 50.3 GB% & 18.1 LineDrive% suggest there isn’t much pop left in that bat. Of course the PlateIQ is solid but there isn’t much else left to help your squad.  I am okay with moving on from Carlos Santana

Now that you’re caught up on this past week’s FBB MarketWatch, have a great weekend.

Check out the FBB MarketWatch recap every single morning when the FBB market opens. Just search #FBBMarketWatch on twitter to follow whose value is up and who’s value is down and advice on what to do. Also, make sure to always check out High Heat for more fantasy baseball talk.

-Matty Kiwoom

Twitter: @MattyKiwoom

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