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Lock, Fade And Stay Away (9/5/20)

If you want the rest of my lock(s), and all of Fiesta’s make sure you are following us on twitter (@thechasers617). Also give our podcast a listen on soundcloud (@thechasers). Now here are some of my lock(s), to go along with my favorite to fade, and my bet to stay far far away from today.

 

Lock(s): 

Boston Celtics -130 (1.3u/1u)

The Boston Celtics were one shot away from being up 3 games to none in their Second Round matchup with the Raptors. Toronto has not looked great this series, and Fred Van Vleet gave the Celtics some bulletin board material after their game three win. “They Fucked Up” was the quote given by Van Vleet. Boston has dominated the Raptors for the majority of the series, and tonight being a favorite for the first time this series is showing it.

I am seeing the Celtics doing whatever it takes tonight to go up 3-1 in the series. Look for Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown and company send a big message tonight. Celtics moneyline is a lock as I am risking 1.3 units to make 1 unit.

 

Philadelphia Flyers +115 (1u/1.15u)

The Philadelphia Flyers have taken everything the Islanders have thrown at them in Game Six, as we are in the final game of the series GAME SEVEN. If last night’s trend is anything that people will follow is that the team who led the Series 3-1 went on to win Game Seven. This is not going to be the case tonight. The Islanders are the favorites, and rightfully so they have killed it all series long. The one thing that is keeping me from taking them tonight is that Philadelphia has shown life in their last two games. I also strongly believe that they will be all over the ice in this pivotal Game Seven tonight. Lock in the Flyers ML as I am risking 1 unit to make 1.15 units.

 

Fade:

Over 69.5 (SMU vs Texas State)

Yes, College Football is back and I couldn’t be anymore excited. I have one play on the football field that I am taking this week (go follow @thechasers617 on twitter to find out what that pick is). So I thought since it wasn’t going to be in the blog, I would put up a fade on the football field that I am noticing today. That fade is the over in the SMU vs Texas State game.

The SMU Mustangs went 10-3 a season ago, and kept Graduate Shane Buechele to be their starting quarterback for another season. I love the Mustangs this season in the AAC, and I think they are going to blow out Texas State today. The spread is a little high for my liking, even though I think they are going to blow them out. So I am looking at the over/under for this game and it is 69.5. That is a lot of points, I think SMU scores in the forties, while Texas State will be lucky to get in the double digits. With that logic fade the over in this one.

 

Stay Away:

Under 6 (St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs) (Game One)

These two teams are playing a double header that should be very exciting today. In Game One the pitching matchup is Adam Wainwright for the Cardinals going up against Adbert Alzolay for the Cubs. The Cardinals are 4-1 in games that Wainwright has started in. Also in those starts the over six runs total has hit in four out of five of those starts. This is a trend that I am going to follow today, so I would stay far far away from the under in game one of this double header.

 

-Chris Jones (@cjoneswho1212)

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