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Lock, Fade And Stay Away (11/10/20)

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Lock:

Over 58 (Akron vs Ohio) (2.24u/2u)

Ohio is looking to bounce back from their big opener loss to Central Michigan last week. This week they get an Akron team that has lost eighteen straight games. Tonight freshman Nathan Rourke will look to play better than he did a week ago, and help take this Ohio offense to the next level. For Akron they were without starting quarterback Kato Nelson and without their transfer running back Cole Gest. Gest is coming from Indiana and was suppose to be their featured running back for this season. I don’t think a lot of defense gets played in this one and that is why the over is my lock. Lock in the over in this one as I am risking 2.24 units to make 2 units in this one.

 

Fade:

Kent State -20.5

Kent State did not end up covering the spread last week against Eastern Michigan. The Golden Flashes were up early in the first half, and didn’t play well in the second half. Dustin Crum who was the best quarterback in the MAC last year, picked up right where he left off. He threw for 219 yards to go along with two touchdowns and an interception.

The Golden Flashes are playing a Bowling Green team that is looking to improve, but last week they got routed by the Toledo Rockets. Bowling Green has to go up against another great quarterback tonight, but I think they can keep it within the number. Fade the Golden Flashes tonight as I think Bowling Green keeps it within 20.5 point spread.

 

Stay Away:

Under 56.5 (Miami Ohio vs Buffalo)

This game has points written all over it. Buffalo put up 49 points last week against the Northern Illinois Huskies, while Miami Ohio put up 38 themselves against Ball State. The one big question mark is the health of Miami Ohio’s quarterback Brett Gabbert who left last week’s game with a head injury and did not return. The best running back duo arguably in the country will keep the Redhawks defense on their toes. I think this game is comfortably going to go over, as if the Bulls don’t turn the ball over like they did when these two teams met last year the over should hit. Stay far away from the under as I see this over comfortably hitting.

 

-Chris Jones (@cjoneswho1212)

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